Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?
We introduce easy-to-implement, regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data and rely on forecast combinations of mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. We also extract a novel small set of daily financial factors from a large panel of about 1000 daily financial assets. Our analysis is designed to elucidate the value of daily financial information and provide real-time forecast updates of the current (nowcasting) and future quarters of real GDP growth.
Year of publication: |
2013
|
---|---|
Authors: | Andreou, Elena ; Ghysels, Eric ; Kourtellos, Andros |
Published in: |
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. - Taylor & Francis Journals, ISSN 0735-0015. - Vol. 31.2013, 2, p. 240-251
|
Publisher: |
Taylor & Francis Journals |
Saved in:
Saved in favorites
Similar items by person
-
Regression Models with Mixed Sampling Frequencies
Andreou, Elena, (2007)
-
Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?
Ghysels, Eric, (2012)
-
Forecasting with mixed-frequency data
Andreou, Elena, (2010)
- More ...