Sophisticated and small versus simple and sizeable : when does it pay off to introduce drifting coefficients in Bayesian vector autoregressions?
Year of publication: |
2024
|
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Authors: | Feldkircher, Martin ; Gruber, Luis ; Huber, Florian ; Kastner, Gregor |
Published in: |
Journal of forecasting. - New York, NY : Wiley Interscience, ISSN 1099-131X, ZDB-ID 2001645-1. - Vol. 43.2024, 6, p. 2126-2145
|
Subject: | density predictions | dynamic model selection | global–local shrinkage priors | hierarchical modeling | stochastic volatility | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Bayes-Statistik | Bayesian inference | VAR-Modell | VAR model | Volatilität | Volatility | Schätztheorie | Estimation theory |
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