SPEC model selection algorithm for ARCH models: an options pricing evaluation framework
A number of single ARCH model-based methods of predicting volatility are compared to Degiannakis and Xekalaki's (2005) poly-model standardized prediction error criterion (SPEC) algorithm method in terms of profits from trading actual options of the S&P500 index returns. The results show that traders using the SPEC for deciding which model's forecasts to use at any given point in time achieve the highest profits.
Year of publication: |
2008
|
---|---|
Authors: | Degiannakis, Stavros ; Xekalaki, Evdokia |
Published in: |
Applied Financial Economics Letters. - Taylor and Francis Journals, ISSN 1744-6546. - Vol. 4.2008, 6, p. 419-423
|
Publisher: |
Taylor and Francis Journals |
Saved in:
Saved in favorites
Similar items by person
-
Evaluating Volatility Forecasts in Option Pricing in the Context of a Simulated Options Market
Xekalaki, Evdokia, (2005)
-
Predictability and Model Selection in the Context of ARCH Models
Degiannakis, Stavros, (2005)
-
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) Models: A Review
Degiannakis, Stavros, (2004)
- More ...