Structural Analysis of Cointegrating VARs.
This survey uses a number of recent developments in the analysis of cointegrating Vector Autoregressions (VARs) to examine their links to the older structural modelling traditions using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), and Simultaneous Equations Models (SEMs). In particular, it emphasizes the importance of using judgement and economic theory to supplement the statistical information. After a brief historical review it sets out the statistical framework, discusses the identification of impulse responses using the Generalized Impulse Response functions, reviews the analysis of cointegrating VARs and highlights the large number of choices applied workers have to make in determining a specification. In particular, it considers the problem of specification of intercepts and trends and the size of the VAR in more detail, and examines the advantages of the use of exogenous variables in cointegration analysis. The issues are illustrated with a small U.S. macroeconomic model. Copyright 1998 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd
Year of publication: |
1998
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Authors: | Pesaran, M Hashem ; Smith, Ron P |
Published in: |
Journal of Economic Surveys. - Wiley Blackwell. - Vol. 12.1998, 5, p. 471-505
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Publisher: |
Wiley Blackwell |
Saved in:
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