Structural Time Series Models for Business Cycle Analysis

The chapter deals with parametric models for the measurement of the business cycle in economic time series. It presents univariate methods based on parametric trend - cycle decompositions and multivariate models featuring a Phillips type relationship between the output gap and inflation and the estimation of the gap using mixed frequency data. We finally address the issue of assessing the accuracy of the output gap estimates

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Year of publication:	2014
Authors:	Proietti, Tommaso
Publisher:	[S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	Zeitreihenanalyse \| Time series analysis \| Konjunktur \| Business cycle \| Konjunkturtheorie \| Business cycle theory \| Konjunkturforschung \| Business cycle analysis \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model

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