Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know : Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings

Michael Weber, Bernardo Candia, Tiziano Ropele, Rodrigo Lluberas, Serafin Frache, Brent H. Meyer, Saten Kumar, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Dimitris Georgarakos, Olivier Coibion, Geoff Kenny, Jorge Ponce

Using randomized control trials (RCTs) applied over time in different countries, we study how the economic environment affects how agents learn from new information. We show that as inflation has recently risen in advanced economies, both households and firms have become more attentive and informed about inflation, leading them to respond less to exogenously provided information about inflation and monetary policy. We also study the effects of RCTs in countries where inflation has been consistently high (Uruguay) and low (New Zealand) as well as what happens when the same agents are repeatedly provided information in both low- and high-inflation environments (Italy). Our results broadly support models in which inattention is an endogenous outcome that depends on the economic environment

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Year of publication:	July 2023
Authors:	Weber, Michael ; Candia, Bernardo ; Ropele, Tiziano ; Lluberas, Rodrigo ; Frache, Serafin ; Meyer, Brent H. ; Kumar, Saten ; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy ; Georgarakos, Dimitris ; Coibion, Olivier ; Kenny, Geoff
Institutions:	National Bureau of Economic Research (issuing body)
Publisher:	Cambridge, Mass : National Bureau of Economic Research
Subject:	Inflationserwartung \| Inflation expectations \| Wirtschaftsinformation \| Economic information \| Geldpolitik \| Monetary policy \| Rationale Erwartung \| Rational expectations \| Randomisierte kontrollierte Studie \| Randomized controlled trial