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ARTICLES - Casey's Problem: Interpreting and Evaluating a New Test - How to interpret a positive on a new medical screening test
Smith, James E., (1999)
The Optimizer's Curse: Skepticism and Postdecision Surprise in Decision Analysis
Smith, James E., (2006)
E DECISIONS AND FORECASTING - The optimizer's curse: Skepticism and postdecision surprise in decision analysis - Ed: 100