The Probability of Legislative Shirking: Estimation and Validation

We introduce a binomial mixture model for estimating the probability of legislative shirking. The estimated probability strongly correlates with the observed frequency of shirking obtained by matching parliamentary roll-call votes with the will of the median voter revealed in national referenda on identical legislative proposals. Since our estimation method requires the roll-call votes as sole input, it can be used even if the will of the median voter is unknown.

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Year of publication:	2015
Authors:	Kaniovski, Serguei ; Stadelmann, David
Publisher:	Zürich : Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA)
Subject:	binomial mixture model \| legislative shirking \| referenda

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Series:	CREMA Working Paper ; 2015-17
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Working Paper
Language:	English
Other identifiers:	hdl:10419/214582 [Handle] RePEc:cra:wpaper:2015-17 [RePEc]
Classification:	C13 - Estimation ; D72 - Economic Models of Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Elections, Legistures, and Voting Behavior
Source:	EconStor

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012168466