The Short-and Long-Run Relationships Between the Exchange Rate of the Dollar and Producer Prices in the U.S.

This paper investigates empirically the relationship between exchange rates and producer prices in the U.S. using a multivariate dynamic framework. Cointegration tests reveal that is a stable long-run relationship between prices, exchange rates and other factors according to which depreciations lead to higher prices. However, the estimated effect is not consistent with the pure form of the purchasing power parity hypothesis. It is also found that in the short run, the rate of price inflation. Finally, there appears to be bi-directional causality between producer prices and exchange rates. [E31, F31, F41[