The slope of the term structure and recessions : evidence from the UK, 1822-2016

Charles A Goodhart, Terence C Mills and Forrest Capie

Year of publication:	11 February 2019
Authors:	Goodhart, Charles A. E. ; Mills, Terence C. ; Capie, Forrest
Publisher:	London : Centre for Economic Policy Research
Subject:	yield spread \| Recession \| prediction \| probit models \| Zinsstruktur \| Yield curve \| Konjunktur \| Business cycle \| Probit-Modell \| Probit model \| Frühindikator \| Leading indicator \| Schätzung \| Estimation \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Großbritannien \| United Kingdom \| Theorie \| Theory \| Kapitaleinkommen \| Capital income

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