The usefulness of earnings in explaining stock returns in an emerging market: the case of Cyprus

The paper presents evidence that earnings levels as well as changes in earnings are important in explaining stock returns in an emerging stock market. The study employs data on all listed firms in the Cyprus Stock Exchange over the ten-year period 1985-1994. Operating cash flows have no incremental information content beyond earnings. Earnings is more informative for larger firms consistent with the notion that accounting information by larger firms is perceived as being more reliable. Moreover, the earnings-returns relationship is not linear, being stronger for positive earnings levels and changes than for negative. Finally, the usefulness of earnings is statistically higher in the later half of the sample period. Overall, the results suggest that investors price earnings information in this emerging market.