Variable long-term trends in mineral prices: The ongoing tug-of-war between exploration, depletion, and technological change
This paper explores the use of low-frequency band-pass filters for describing long-run trends in real mineral commodity prices. This approach has the advantage of allowing long-run trend rates to evolve gradually over time, rather than assuming that they are constant (perhaps with occasional structural breaks) over time. This is a flexible way of capturing the ongoing ‘tug of war’ between exploration, depletion, and technological change.
Year of publication: |
2014
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Authors: | Cuddington, John T. ; Nülle, Grant |
Published in: |
Journal of International Money and Finance. - Elsevier, ISSN 0261-5606. - Vol. 42.2014, C, p. 224-252
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Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Subject: | Variable trends | Depletion | Technological change |
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