Garratt, Anthony; Koop, Gary; Mise, Emi; Vahey, Shaun P. - 2007
referred to as
9These were the types of model used for forecasting and policy analysis both in the academic literature
and at … recursive forecasting exercise, we simply derive the predictive density at each point
in time and then calculate various … policymaker evaluating the forecasting performance of our
many models in 1986Q4. Publication lags for real-time data mean that the …