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subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
~isPartOf:"Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association"
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Prognoseverfahren
Estimation
384
Schätzung
384
Theorie
170
Theory
170
Estimation theory
136
Schätztheorie
136
USA
101
United States
100
Time series analysis
98
Zeitreihenanalyse
98
Nichtparametrisches Verfahren
66
Nonparametric statistics
66
Volatility
62
Volatilität
62
Forecasting model
54
Capital income
47
Kapitaleinkommen
47
Regression analysis
44
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Börsenkurs
32
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Panel study
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24
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23
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21
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21
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19
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Carrasco, Marine
2
Chan, Joshua
2
Delle Monache, Davide
2
Diebold, Francis X.
2
Huber, Florian
2
Koop, Gary
2
Marcellino, Massimiliano
2
Mariano, Roberto S.
2
Petrella, Ivan
2
Ravazzolo, Francesco
2
Rossi, Barbara
2
Stock, James H.
2
Venditti, Fabrizio
2
Watson, Mark W.
2
Aastveit, Knut Are
1
Amado, Cristina
1
Anderson, Heather M.
1
Andrews, Rick L.
1
Barigozzi, Matteo
1
Boswijk, Herman Peter
1
Bäurle, Gregor
1
Chan, Nancy Y. C.
1
Chen, Cathy W. S.
1
Chen, Willa W.
1
Cho, Haeran
1
Clements, Michael P.
1
Coroneo, Laura
1
Currim, Imran S.
1
De Polis, Andrea
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Demetrescu, Matei
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Demircan, Hamza
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Deo, Rohit S.
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Dijk, Herman K. van
1
Dorfman, Jeffrey H.
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Du, Zaichao
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Dueker, Michael
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Favero, Carlo A.
1
Feldkircher, Martin
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Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association
International journal of forecasting
157
Journal of forecasting
108
Finance research letters
99
Applied economics
78
Journal of banking & finance
77
Journal of empirical finance
66
International review of financial analysis
64
Economic modelling
63
Journal of econometrics
63
Energy economics
61
Journal of financial economics
58
Applied economics letters
56
Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research
56
International review of economics & finance : IREF
55
Working paper
53
Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
49
The North American journal of economics and finance : a journal of financial economics studies
48
NBER working paper series
46
NBER Working Paper
45
Economics letters
42
Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria
38
CESifo working papers
36
Journal of international money and finance
36
Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute
34
Pacific-Basin finance journal
34
Finance and economics discussion series
32
The European journal of finance
32
Journal of applied econometrics
30
Journal of international financial markets, institutions & money
30
Discussion papers / CEPR
27
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
26
International journal of finance & economics : IJFE
25
Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank
24
Applied financial economics
23
Journal of financial econometrics : official journal of the Society for Financial Econometrics
23
Research in international business and finance
23
The journal of futures markets
23
Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM
22
The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal of the Midwest Economics Association ; journal of the Midwest Finance Association
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ECONIS (ZBW)
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FNETS : factor-adjusted network estimation and forecasting for high-dimensional time series
Barigozzi, Matteo
;
Cho, Haeran
;
Owens, Dom
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
42
(
2024
)
3
,
pp. 890-902
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053503
Saved in:
2
Modeling and forecasting macroeconomic downside risk
Delle Monache, Davide
;
De Polis, Andrea
;
Petrella, Ivan
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
42
(
2024
)
3
,
pp. 1010-1025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053528
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3
SVARs identification through bounds on the forecast error variance
Volpicella, Alessio
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
40
(
2022
)
3
,
pp. 1291-1301
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013539513
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4
Powerful backtests for historical simulation expected shortfall models
Du, Zaichao
;
Pei, Pei
;
Wang, Xuhui
;
Yang, Tao
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
42
(
2024
)
3
,
pp. 864-874
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053499
Saved in:
5
Reconciled estimates of monthly GDP in the United States
Koop, Gary
;
McIntyre, Stuart
;
Mitchell, James
;
Poon, Aubrey
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 563-577
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448358
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6
Using survey information for improving the density nowcasting of U.S. GDP
Çakmaklı, Cem
;
Demircan, Hamza
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 667-682
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448419
Saved in:
7
Structural breaks in grouped heterogeneity
Smith, Simon C.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 752-764
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448432
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8
Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs
Chan, Joshua
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 890-905
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448455
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9
Overnight GARCH-Itô volatility models
Kim, Donggyu
;
Shin, Minseok
;
Wang, Yazhen
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1215-1227
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448607
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10
Corporate probability of default : a single-index hazard model approach
Li, Shaobo
;
Tian, Shaonan
;
Yu, Yan
;
Zhu, Xiaorui
;
Lian, Heng
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1288-1299
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448636
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11
Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter
Quast, Josefine
;
Wolters, Maik H.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
40
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 152-168
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804095
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12
Nonlinear predictability of stock returns? : parametric versus nonparametric inference in predictive regressions
Demetrescu, Matei
;
Hillmann, Benjamin
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
40
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 382-397
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804123
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13
Price dividend ratio and long-run stock returns : a score-driven state space model
Delle Monache, Davide
;
Petrella, Ivan
;
Venditti, Fabrizio
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
39
(
2021
)
4
,
pp. 1054-1065
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653225
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14
Inducing sparsity and shrinkage in time-varying parameter models
Huber, Florian
;
Koop, Gary
;
Onorante, Luca
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
39
(
2021
)
3
,
pp. 669-683
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588006
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15
Markov-switching three-pass regression filter
Guérin, Pierre
;
Leiva-Leon, Danilo
;
Marcellino, …
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 285-302
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262467
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16
Real-time macroeconomic forecasting with a heteroscedastic inversion copula
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
;
Smith, Michael S.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 470-486
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262488
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17
Implications of return predictability for consumption dynamics and asset pricing
Favero, Carlo A.
;
Ortu, Fulvio
;
Tamoni, Andrea
;
Yang, Haoxi
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 527-541
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262492
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18
Testing nowcast monotonicity with estimated factors
Fosten, Jack
;
Gutknecht, Daniel
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
1
,
pp. 107-123
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179524
Saved in:
19
Adaptive shrinkage in Bayesian vector autoregressive models
Huber, Florian
;
Feldkircher, Martin
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
37
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 27-39
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175868
Saved in:
20
Forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall using a semiparametric approach based on the asymmetric laplace distribution
Taylor, James W.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
37
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 121-133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176554
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21
The variance risk premium : components, term structures, and stock return predictability
Li, Junye
;
Zinna, Gabriele
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
36
(
2018
)
3
,
pp. 411-425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249166
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22
Combined density nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment
Aastveit, Knut Are
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
;
Dijk, Herman …
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
36
(
2018
)
1
,
pp. 131-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894481
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23
Measuring nonlinear Granger causality in mean
Song, Xiaojun
;
Taamouti, Abderrahim
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
36
(
2018
)
2
,
pp. 321-333
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895015
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24
The stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters : an application to inflation modeling
Chan, Joshua
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
1
,
pp. 17-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704092
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25
Forecasting macroeconomic variables under model instability
Pettenuzzo, Davide
;
Timmermann, Allan
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 183-201
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704162
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26
Inferring the predictability induced by a persistent regressor in a predictive threshold model
Gonzalo, Jesús
;
Pitarakis, Jean-Yves
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 202-217
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704166
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27
Assessing macro uncertainty in real-time when data are subject to revision
Clements, Michael P.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
35
(
2017
)
3
,
pp. 420-433
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705951
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28
Forecasting with nonspurious factors in U.S. macroeconomic time series
Yamamoto, Yohei
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
1
,
pp. 81-106
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691219
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29
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility
Marcellino, Massimiliano
;
Porqueddu, Mario
;
Venditti, …
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
1
,
pp. 118-127
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691233
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30
In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models
Carrasco, Marine
;
Rossi, Barbara
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 313-338
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691438
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31
Rejoinder: In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models
Carrasco, Marine
;
Rossi, Barbara
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 353-356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691450
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32
Unspanned macroeconomic factors in the yield curve
Coroneo, Laura
;
Giannone, Domenico
;
Modugno, Michele
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
34
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 472-485
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691663
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33
Forecasting equity premium : global historical average versus local historical average and constraints
Lee, Tae-hwy
;
Tu, Yundong
;
Ullah, Aman
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
33
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 393-402
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390401
Saved in:
34
Conditional correlation models of autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with nonstationary GARCH equations
Amado, Cristina
;
Teräsvirta, Timo
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
32
(
2014
)
1
,
pp. 69-87
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380478
Saved in:
35
Bayesian analysis of latent threshold dynamic models
Nakajima, Jouchi
;
West, Mike
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
31
(
2013
)
2
,
pp. 151-164
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754013
Saved in:
36
Structural dynamic factors analysis using prior information from macroeconomic theory
Bäurle, Gregor
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
31
(
2013
)
2
,
pp. 136-150
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754017
Saved in:
37
Real-time inflation forecasting in a changing world
Groen, Jan J. J.
;
Paap, Richard
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
31
(
2013
)
1
,
pp. 29-44
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715102
Saved in:
38
Uniform inference in predictive regression models
Chen, Willa W.
;
Deo, Rohit S.
;
Yi, Yanping
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
31
(
2013
)
4
,
pp. 525-533
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337853
Saved in:
39
Bayesian time-varying quantile forecasting for value-at-risk in financial markets
Gerlach, Richard H.
;
Chen, Cathy W. S.
;
Chan, Nancy Y. C.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
29
(
2011
)
4
,
pp. 481-492
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009355672
Saved in:
40
A comparison of sales response predictions from demand models applied to store-level versus panel data
Andrews, Rick L.
;
Currim, Imran S.
;
Leeflang, Peter
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
29
(
2011
)
2
,
pp. 319-326
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009159978
Saved in:
41
Forecast combination across estimation windows
Pesaran, M. Hashem
;
Pick, Andreas
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
29
(
2011
)
2
,
pp. 307-318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009159984
Saved in:
42
Dynamic factors and the source of momentum profits
Yao, Tong
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
26
(
2008
)
2
,
pp. 211-226
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003675698
Saved in:
43
Forecasting the volatility of Australian stock returns : do common factors help?
Anderson, Heather M.
;
Vahid, Farshid
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
25
(
2007
)
1
,
pp. 76-90
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003410168
Saved in:
44
On the econometrics of the bass diffusion model
Boswijk, Herman Peter
;
Franses, Philip Hans
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
23
(
2005
)
3
,
pp. 255-268
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003012845
Saved in:
45
Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes
Stock, James H.
;
Watson, Mark W.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
20
(
2002
)
2
,
pp. 147-162
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001660369
Saved in:
46
Comparing predictive accuracy
Diebold, Francis X.
;
Mariano, Roberto S.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
20
(
2002
)
1
,
pp. 134-144
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001639892
Saved in:
47
Improving federal-funds rate forecasts in VAR models used for policy analysis
Robertson, John C.
;
Tallman, Ellis W.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
19
(
2001
)
3
,
pp. 324-330
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001603253
Saved in:
48
Stock returns and dividend yields revisited : a new way to look at an old problem
Wolf, Michael
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
18
(
2000
)
1
,
pp. 18-30
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001441585
Saved in:
49
Aggregate consumption and the predictability of asset returns
Jacobs, Kris
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
18
(
2000
)
1
,
pp. 58-76
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001441607
Saved in:
50
A time-varying parameter model to test for predictability and integration in the stock markets of transition economies
Rockinger, Michael
;
Urga, Giovanni
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
19
(
2001
)
1
,
pp. 73-84
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001543452
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