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We study the jump behaviour in the sovereign risks of major oil-exporting countries and examine whether it is affected by jumps in the price and volatility of crude oil. Data used are daily from 14 February 2011, to 31 July 2019. We detect the presence of jumps in many oil exporters and find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127756
In this work, we propose an analysis of the global market for crude oil based on a revised version of the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model introduced by Kilian and Murphy (2014). On this respect, we replace the global proxy for above-ground crude oil inventories with the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794647
Using copulas, we investigate the pairwise dependence structures between two risk factors, oil price and aggregate market index price, and the US oil and gas sub-sector indices. We also explore the out-of-sample hedging performance of a hedging strategy by minimizing the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951539
This paper presents an empirical study on hedging long-dated crude oil futures options with forward price models incorporating stochastic interest rates and stochastic volatility. Several hedging schemes are considered including delta, gamma, vega and interest rate hedge. Factor hedging is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982923
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012593226
This paper aims to create a composite national oil sentiment index and examine the sentiment effects on oil futures. The intent is to extrapolate this index for the US market and assess its viability and applicability to other countries in future research. Oil sentiment is measured through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949027
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility spillovers between the returns on crude oil futures and oil company stocks using alternative multivariate GARCH models, namely the CCC model of Bollerslev (1990), VARMA-GARCH model of Ling and McAleer (2003), and VARMA-AGARCH model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159693
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486378
The previous studies have shown that capital market integration has increased in the ASEAN-5, implying that investors making investment diversification across ASEAN capital markets could only earn limited diversification advantages. To diversify their portfolios, equity investors must find other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418412
Investment by oil firms positively affects the futures basis and negatively predicts excess returns on crude oil futures. I build an equilibrium model of drilling, exploration, and storage to understand these facts. Firms' capital stock lowers extraction costs as firms drill in increasingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936851