Relatively there is little empirical research that has been taken to understand how the underlying economy affects customers’ subsequent financial product purchase behaviours. A better understanding of this influence and being able to predict the probability of purchasing are important for...

Consumer credit risk assessment involves the use of risk assessment tools to manage a borrower’s account from the time of pre-screening a potential application through to the management of the account during its life and possible write-off. The riskiness of lending to a credit applicant is...

The fact that the Basel Accord formula is based on a corporate credit risk model and the mis-rating of mortgage backed securities which led to the credit crunch have highlighted that developing credit risk models for portfolios of retail loans is far less advanced than the equivalent modelling...

This paper addresses the risk cutoff policies of a retail bank whose objectives are to maximize return on equity for shareholders and live within regulatory capital requirements, such as those of the Basel Capital Accord, to meet unexpected default losses. It investigates the changes that have...

In this article we describe the construction and implementation of a pricing model for a leading UK mortgage lender. The crisis in mortgage lending has highlighted the importance of incorporating default risk into such pricing decisions b y mortgage lenders. In this case the underlying default...

Contents * A: Historical development of credit and behavioural scoring * R W Johnson: Legal, social and economic issues in implementing scoring in the US * R Eisenbeis: Problems in applying discriminant analysis in credit scoring models * M A Hopper and E M Lewis: Behaviour scoring and adaptive...

Since the global credit crunch, lenders have recognized how critical it is to assess the default risk of portfolios of consumer borrowing under different economic environments. We describe a Markov chain model for revolving consumer credit accounts based on consumers' behavioral scores that...