Showing 1 - 10 of 122
In this study we consider a linear model with forecast feedback in which boundedly rational agents are learning the … parameter values of the rational expectations equilibrium by the OLS learning procedure. We show strong consistency of the OLS … boundedly rational learning approach to models including non-stationary time series, like processes with polynomial trends or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968302
This paper describes a method for solving a class of forward-looking Markov-switching Rational Expectations models under noisy measurement, by specifying the unobservable expectations component as a general-measurable function of the observable states of the system, to be determined optimally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009023796
Tuning one's shower in some hotels may turn into a challenging coordination game with imperfect information. The temperature sensitivity increases with the number of agents, making the problem possibly unlearnable. Because there is in practice a finite number of possible tap positions, identical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005032219
payoff-based learning models are simulated in order to understand individual learning behavior in distributed systems. Under … the serial mechanism the payoff-assessment learning model (Sarin and Vahid (1997)) provides the best fit to the data …, followed by the experience-weighted attraction learning model (Camerer and Ho (1999)), which in turn, is followed by a simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005001438
unknown value. A winner’s curse phenomenon arises when subjects bid too high and make losses. Learning direction theory can … quantitative predictions on the basis of learning direction theory. We also look at monotonic ladder processes. It is shown that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004989615
We study the Fictitious Play process with bounded and unbounded recall in pure coordination games for which failing to coordinate yields a payoff of zero for both players. It is shown that every Fictitious Play player with bounded recall may fail to coordinate against his own type. On the other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968208
decision behavior (like learning and expectation formation), reasoning, and the connection between bounded rationality and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968210
equilibrium of the game does not organize the individual data, two individual learning models are studied: one following a … predictive value of such learning models is found to be poor. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968350
Recently there has been much theoretical and experimental work on learning in games. However, learning usually means … "learning about the strategic behavior of opponents" rather than "learning about the game" as such. In contrast, here we report …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968377
learning processes exhibited by players. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968419