The goal of this research was to evaluate the effects of the 1992 change in the automobile insurance pricing by the Société de l'assurance automobile du Québec (SAAQ, the public insurer for bodily injuries) on road safety. Our results indicate that the new pricing system reduced infractions...

In this article, we study the statistical relationships between individual probabilities of accidents and both different infractions to the Quebec Code of Road Safety and some infractions to the Criminal Code which carry a suspension of the driving permit. We propose new tables of demerit points...

We are interested in the evolution of the equilibrium price of a stockable commodity which can be demanded for speculative purposes. Using a model "à la Grossman", we determine all the possible price evolutions and we analyse the effect of the structural parameters on the growth of speculative...

We discuss the econometric features of securitization: descriptive or structural analysis of prepayment behaviours, consequences on the pricing of mortgage backed securities. We insist on the distinction between disaggregated approaches based on individual loans, and aggregated ones based on...

We discuss the main opened questions related to credit risk, that is the default risk of a borrower. These questions concern the prediction of default (term structure of default, default correlation, recovery rate, determination of the required capital), the pricing of debts (according to risk...

We introduce a general to specific approach suitable for panel data. We are led to perform singular value decompositions based on a multivariate variance analysis equation, in which the individual and time effects are explicitely taken into account. This methodology is applied to the analysis of...

In this paper, we introduce a new class of models for count endogenous variables, i.e. the additive log-differentiated probability models (ALDP). This class is similar to the semi-parametric proportional hazard models used for duration data, and has some interesting implications in terms of...

We extend the ideas of cointegration theory to the case of stationary series, by introducing the notions of persistence degree and of codependence vectors. These give the directions which are the less sensitive to the shocks. Then these notions are applied to the study of relative purchasing...

In this paper, we analyse the effects of the inequality in the distribution of medical resources on the use of elective surgeries taking into account the mobility of the patients between geographical areas. In the first part of the paper, we present a theoretical model which analyses the effects...

Our society faces many risks that affect human life. Cost-benefit analysis is a very popular project-evaluation tool for reducing these social risks. The government has to set projects or regulations whose benefits will outweigh costs. It is quite easy to evaluate costs but how to evaluate the...