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Tracking growth in the euro area subject to a dimensionality problem
Comunale, Mariarosaria; Mongelli, Francesco Paolo - 2021
We investigate which variables have supported growth in the euro area over the last 30 years. This is a challenging task due to dimensionality problems: a large set of potential determinants, limited data, and the prospect that some variables could be non-stationary. We assemble a set of 35...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625874
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Cyclical drivers of euro area consumption : what can we learn from durable goods?
Casalis, André; Krustev, Georgi - 2020
We study the cyclical dynamics of consumption in the euro area (EA) and the large EA countries by distinguishing … cross-country heterogeneity in how different factors (including durable-specific ones) explain consumption; (iii) the … strength of spillovers from durable to nondurable consumption, as predicted by theory, is empirically correlated with how much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197836
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Inflation expectations, consumption and the lower bound : micro evidence from a large euro area survey
Duca, Ioana A.; Kenny, Geoff; Reuter, Andreas - 2018
aggregate private consumption. We find the effects to be economically relevant, especially when the lower bound is binding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928923
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Wealth effect on consumption during the sovereign debt crisis : households heterogeneity in the euro area
Garbinti, Bertrand; Lamarche, Pierre; Lecanu, Charlélie; … - 2020
, income and consumption. We use panel regressions and an instrumental variable approach. First, our panel-based MPC estimates … the reaction to losses versus gains. Fourth, higher MPC is obtained for the two main consumption expenditure categories …. Fifth, we find evidences that housing prices shock decreases consumption inequality while financial wealth shocks have a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139739
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Who bears the costs of inflation? : euro area households and the 2021-2022 shock
Pallotti, Filippo; Paz Pardo, Gonzalo; Slacalek, Jirka; … - 2023
-44 year-old winning; (iii) losses were quite uniform across consumption quantiles because rigid rents served as a hedge for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483008
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Sudden stops and asset purchase programmes in the euro area
Fabiani, Josefina; Fidora, Michael; Setzer, Ralph; … - 2021
This paper analyses the incidence and severity of sudden stops in euro area countries before and after the introduction of the ECB's asset purchase programmes. We define sudden stops as abrupt declines in private net financial inflows, i.e. total flows adjusted for EU and IMF loans and changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643263
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Leaning against the global financial cycle
Ferrero, Andrea; Habib, Maurizio Michael; Stracca, Livio; … - 2022
We study the role and the interaction of the quality of institutions and of counter-cyclical policies in leaning against the Global Financial Cycle (GFC) in Emerging Economies (EMEs). We show that heteroegeneity in institutional strength is a key determinant of the different effects of the GFC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013488632
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Fiscal policy and growth : do financial crises make a difference?
Afonso, António; Grüner, Hans Peter; Kolerus, Christina - 2010
In this paper we assess to what extent in the existence of a financial crisis, government spending can contribute to mitigate economic downturns in the short run and whether such impact differs in crisis and non crisis times. We use panel analysis for a set of OECD and non-OECD countries for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983667
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Household spending and fiscal support during theCOVID-19 pandemic : insights from a new consumer survey
Georgarakos, Dimitris; Kenny, Geoff - 2022
This paper introduces the Consumer Expectations Survey (CES), a new online, high frequency panel survey of euro area consumers' expectations and behaviour. The paper also investigates whether public perceptions about fiscal support measures introduced during the pandemic have influenced spending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818792
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Reverse causality in global current accounts
Schnabl, Gunther; Freitag, Stephan - 2010
The paper discusses global imbalances under the aspect of an asymmetric world monetary system. It identifies the US and Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by current account surpluses of countries stabilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973544