Various simulation models uniformly project a decline of the cereal and silage maize area as well as ruminant production in the EU-15 in the course of decoupling of direct payments. In contrast, model results are heterogeneous with respect to the direction of the decoupling effect on oilseed and...

The Barcelona Process (Euro-Mediterranean Partnership) celebrated its tenth anniversary witha Summit of Head of Governors in November 2005. A five-year work programme, agreed bythe partners, marks the renewed efforts to implement the objectives of the Euro-MediterraneanPartnership. One of the...

The EU recently completed negotiating a series of Association Agreements withMediterranean countries. Trade preferences for agricultural goods granted under theseAgreements, as well as under former arrangements, are analyzed by calculating the valueof preference margins at several stages in the...

An importexceeds a "normal" level. This paper identifies various internal and external factors that can contribute to the emergence of agricultural import surges in developing countries and discusses their relevance. External factors play a rather minor role. Internal policies, whether carried...

As a pragmatic definition applied throughout this paper, an import surge is considered a situation in which the quantity or value of imports suddenly exceeds a "normal" level. This somewhat loose concept leaves questions as to how "suddenly", "normal" and "excess" should be defined precisely,...

This paper presents an approach to depict subsistence production of milk in a partial equilibriumsector model and applies this approach to Poland, Bulgaria and Romania in the European SimulationModel (ESIM). The restriction on milk production implied by the EU milk quota in a situation...

This paper suggests spatial models as an alternative to the Armington approach to model bilateral trade. While the use of spatial models has been accepted for decades, they are rarely chosen for such analyses. However, problems inherent in the application of the Armington approach can be...

At the EU Council in December 2004, European heads of governments will decide on apotential date for the start of EU accession negotiations with Turkey. Various recent analysesassess the cost of applying the Common Agricultural Policy of the EU (CAP) to Turkeywithout taking into account the...

The EU protects EU growers of 15 kinds of fresh fruits and vegetables against internationalcompetition not only by the means of ad valorem tariffs of up to 20%, but also by the EUentry-price system (EPS), which is designed to restrict imports below the product-specific,politically designated...

China has become a major exporter of fresh fruits and vegetables in recent years. Between 2002and 2006, China’s fresh fruit and vegetable exports rose continuously, more than doubling in valueto reach nearly $5 billion US in 2006. The net trade position for fresh fruits and vegetables hasalso...