The current innovative economy considers digitalization as a factor influencing the most important socio-economic processes, including those related to progressive structural changes, social development, improvement of the efficiency of public administration, and growth of the population's...

Preliminary data on Russia's economic results of 2015, as well as the current trends in the global energy market, give grounds for revising down possible scenarios for Russia's economy in 2016-2017. For instance, a scenario of yearly average oil prices staying at $35 a barrel in 2016 is now the...

The results of H1 2017 on the one hand support the previous assumptions that the Russian economy is entering a growth phase, and on the other hand provide evidence of elevated uncertainty regarding the terms and prospects of economic development in the future. We expect that key macroeconomic...

According to our forecast, the period 2017–2018 will see renewed growth of practically every main socioeconomic activity index, even under the scenario geared to a persistently unfavorable external situation. The economy will be able to show only weak growth at a rate of 2% в per annum....

Our macroeconomic forecast of the most probable scenarios for 2016–2018 indicates that the Russian economy will pass through the lowest point of the current crisis in mid-2016, and that thereafter, from H2 2016 onwards, it will start displaying signs of stabilization and even recovery. In...

This study is devoted to the development of approaches to the assessment of macroeconomic indicators, aggregate factor productivity, labor productivity, capital and other indicators in the conditions of digitalization of the national economy. The study applied a methodological framework based on...

In this study, we have attempted a broad review of the literature examining the impact of exchange rate volatility on trade volume. We show that early estimates suggesting a significant increase in trade among countries in currency unions are flawed, and are due to a number of reasons related to...

Целью данной работы является исследование влияния макроэкономических показателей на финансовые рынки и анализ степени влияния этих факторов. В первом разделе...

The imposition of the restrictive measures to contain the spread of the coronavirus infection (self-isolation regime, shutdown of public facilities, etc.) adversely affected the dynamic of Russian industrial sectors in H1 2020. The manufacturing industries that produce consumer durable goods,...

Developments that unfolded in Q1 2016, particularly the decline of crude oil prices down to a 12-year low, may result in worse-than-expected outcomes at 2016 year-end. Unlike the forecast that we made in January, we have revised down our 2016 baseline scenario for GDP growth rates from -1.4% to...