The test aims at two objectives. First, it presents a new technique of time series analysis that allows to date historical processes: the recurrence plot. This technique was conceived originally to detect non- linearities and eventually chaotic dynamics in experimental signals in Physics, but it...

The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the debate on the factors which prevented Brazil from becoming a fully industrialized economy, as the United States did, after the culmination of its agrarian-export period. The main conclusion is that, in the USA, basically due to its better...

The purpose of this work is to perform a systemic analysis of coffee production in Brazil in the period 1900-1930. The motivation to use system dynamics is that such methodology seems especially suitable to model processes subject to dynamic complexity, such as commodity cycles. Firstly, it will...