In a large-scale laboratory experiment, we investigate whether subjects’ scores on the cognitivereflection test (CRT) are related to their susceptibility to the base rate fallacy, the conservatismbias, overconfidence, and the endowment eect.

We empirically investigate possible distortions in subjective performance evaluations. A keyhypothesis is that evaluations are more upward biased the closer the social ties betweensupervisor and appraised employee. We test this hypothesis with a company data set from acall center organization...

We use a simple, three-item test for cognitive abilities to investigate whether established behavioral biases that play a prominent role in behavioral economics and finance are related to cognitive abilities...

A growing number of studies in finance decompose multi-period buy-and-hold portfolioreturns into a series of single period returns. The method used to decomposethese returns is important because researchers use them in tests of asset pricing modelsand market efficiency and in evaluating the...

BEA’s national economic statistics provide a comprehensive view of U.S. production, consumption, investment, exports and imports, and income and saving. These statistics are best known by summary measures such as gross domestic product (GDP), corporate profits, personal income and spending,...

The Survey of Professional Forecasters is the oldest quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States. The survey began in 1968 and was conducted by the American Statistical Association and the National Bureau of Economic Research. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia took...