We estimate a system of equations to analyze whether bilateral trade and financial linkages influence business cycle synchronization directly and/or indirectly. Our paper builds upon the existing literature by using bilateral trade and financial flows for a small, open economy (Spain) as...

There is a general recognition that there are deficiencies in the Mundell-Fleming model. Nonetheless, Rose [2000] has stated that Mundell was the first to exposit the Policy Trilemma, which identifies an intrinsic incompatibility among: high capital mobility, fixed exchange rates, and monetary...

In this thesis different definitions of financial contagion are explored. These definitions are applied to test for evidence of contagion on a number of stock markets and during several turbulent periods. First, we investigate the question whether emerging stock markets are more or less...

Diese Dissertation untersucht die Messung finanzieller Risiken und besteht aus vier eigenständigen Forschungspapieren über die Analyse, Modellierung und Vorhersage solcher Risiken in verschiedenen wirtschaftlichen Szenarien. Die gegenwärtigen Risikomaße ignorieren größtenteils das...