What factors drive the valuation of Bitcoin and other crypto-assets? We use a novel measure and show that [1] Sentiments in Bitcoin drive the price action and have a material effect on returns [2] Sentiments in Bitcoin drive the valuation of other cryptocurrency assets [3] Sentiments in Bitcoin...

Can prices convey information about the fundamental value of an asset? This paper considers this problem in relation to the dynamic properties of the fundamental (whether it is constant or time-varying) and the structure of information available to agents. Risk-averse traders receive two...

The decision process of an investor who must screen information of varying quality in a stock market with heterogeneous investors leads to new dimensions to consider in the risk-return space. More volatile forecast errors make it more difficult to properly form expectations from forecasts....

The goal of this paper is to model an agent who dislikes large choice sets because of the "cost of thinking" involved in choosing from them. We take as a primitive a preference relation over lotteries of menus and impose novel axioms that allow us to separately identify the genuine preference...

This paper studies whether anomalies in consumption can be explained by a behavioral model in which agents make predictable errors in forecasting income. We use a micro-data set containing subjective expectations about future income. The paper shows that, the null hypothesis of rational...

What can subjective reports of financial difficulties add to our understanding about the role of liquidity constraints in the demand for college education? Liquidity constraints in education may lead to inefficient skill allocations and perpetuate imbalances in the distribution of economic...

This paper investigates the determinants of forecast heterogeneity in the Yen-US dollar market using a panel data set from Consensus Economics. Regardless of the particular model specification and consideration of control variables we find that exchange rate misalignments increase forecast...

We use oil price forecasts from the Consensus Economic Forecast poll to analyze how forecaster build their expectations. Our findings point into the direction that the extrapolative as well as the regressive expectation formation hypothesis play a role. Standard measures of forecast accuracy...

Aim: We examine the relationship between the subjective assessment of health status and retirement by using information on expected and actual retirement ages. Methods: Subjective data from cross-sectional surveys, conducted in Finland in 2003 and 2008, are linked to information on actual...

We consider a sequential equilibrium model over two periods, during the first of which agents have perfect information and their expectations are formed as if there were complete future markets. We show that, in the second period, equilibrium prices may well be different from those expected,...