In a discrete model, the predicted probabilities of a particular eventcan be matched to the observed (0, I) outcomes and this will give riseto a measure of fit for that event. Previous results for the binomialmodel are applied to multinomial models. In these models the measureof fit will vary...

"This monograph aims to collect recent theoretical insights and various empirical results for a rapidly developing area concerning the analysis of business and economic forecasts. Strictly following econometric textbooks one would be tempted to assume that forecasts are the outcome of a careful...

Assuming only basic familiarity with matrix algebra and calculus the book is an ideal introduction for students of econometrics. Focusing on a limited number of the most widely used methods, the book reviews the basics of econometrics and ends with seven case studies drawn from recent empirical...