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Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set

Stekler, H.O. - 2016

This paper considers the issue of predicting cyclical turning points using real-time diffusion indexes constructed using a large data set from March 2005 to September 2014. We construct diffusion indexes at the monthly frequency, compare several smoothing and signal extraction methods, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983069

Short and long-run elasticities in US residential electricity demand : a co-integration approach

Silk, Julian I. - In: Energy economics 19 (1997) 4, pp. 493-513

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001232401

Output fluctuations in the G-7 : an unobserved components approach

Mitra, Sinchan; Sinclair, Tara M. - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 16 (2012) 3, pp. 396-422

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009669546

Output fluctuations in the G-7 : an unobserved components approach

Mitra, Sinchan; Sinclair, Tara M. - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003868976

A nonparametric approach to identifying a subset of forecasters that outperforms the simple average

Bürgi, Constantin; Sinclair, Tara M. - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 53 (2017) 1, pp. 101-115

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929556

Comments on: "Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates"

Ferrara, Laurent - In: International journal of forecasting 29 (2013) 4, pp. 751-753

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010221286

Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates

Sinclair, Tara M.; Stekler, Herman O. - In: International journal of forecasting 29 (2013) 4, pp. 736-750

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010221287

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