During the boom years in the run-up to the global financial and economic crisis, Greece established close economic ties with the Southeastern European (SEE) region. As a consequence, the current Greek sovereign debt crisis could potentially have adverse economic implications for SEE. Both real...

After a long-lasting boom period, the global crisis put the resilience of Croatia’s economic and financial system to a severe test. The country has mastered this test so far. To some extent, the crisis also altered the country’s macrofinancial risk profile, although – against the backdrop...

This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by using a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals for a...

This paper introduces a new methodology to date systemic financial stress events in a transparent, objective and reproducible way. The financial cycle is captured by a monthly country-specific financial stress index. Based on a Markov-switching model, high financial stress regimes are...

This paper introduces a new methodology to date systemic financial stress events in a transparent, objective and reproducible way. The financial cycle is captured by a monthly country-specific financial stress index. Based on a Markov-switching model, high financial stress regimes are...

This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by using a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals for a...