In this paper we investigate VIX dynamics through a two-factor Gaussian model, following Avellaneda and Papanicolaou (2019). Two strategies were adopted. First, we considered constant market price of risk. Second, we included time-varying market price of risk. In both cases, we estimated the...

Accurate forecasting of solar PV generation is critical for integrating renewable energy into power systems. This paper presents a multivariate probabilistic forecasting model that addresses the challenges posed by imbalanced data resulting from day and night-time periods in solar photovoltaic...

Food safety is a major risk for agribusiness firms. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), approximately 5000 people die annually, and 36,000 people are hospitalized as a result of foodborne outbreaks in the United States. Globally, the death estimate is about 42,000...