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Trust in supply forecast information sharing

Firouzi, Fatemeh; Jaber, Mohamad Y.; Baglieri, Enzo - In: International journal of production research 54 (2016) 5/6, pp. 1322-1333

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495120

Predicting the antecedents of trust in social commerce : a hybrid structural equation modeling with neural network approach

Leong, Lai-Ying; Hew, Teck-Soon; Ooi, Keng-Boon; Chong, … - In: Journal of business research : JBR 110 (2020), pp. 24-40

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237820

Preference for human or algorithmic forecasting advice does not predict if and how it is used

Himmelstein, Mark; Budescu, David V. - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 36 (2023) 1, pp. 1-24

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464468

Endogenous Overconfidence in Managerial Forecasts

Hilary, Gilles - 2011

We examine whether attribution bias that leads managers who have experienced short-term forecasting success to become overconfident in their ability to forecast future earnings. Importantly, this form of overconfidence is endogenous and dynamic. We also examine the effect of this cognitive bias...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128258

A Prediction Market for Climate Outcomes

Hsu, Shi-Ling - 2013

This article proposes a way of introducing some organization and tractability in climate science, generating more widely credible evaluations of climate science, and imposing some discipline on the processing and interpretation of climate information. I propose a two-part policy instrument...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014185534

Production Forecasting and Evaluation of Investments Using Allen Two-Factor Production Function

Koval, Viktor - 2018

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917179

Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme

Baron, Jonathan; Mellers, Barbara A.; Tetlock, Philip E.; … - In: Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for … 11 (2014) 2, pp. 133-145

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382759

Confidence calibration in a multiyear geopolitical forecasting competition

Moore, Don A.; Swift, Samuel A.; Minster, Angela; … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 63 (2017) 11, pp. 3552-3565

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772472

Can Observers Predict Trustworthiness?

Belot, Michèle; Bhaskar, V.; van de Ven, Jeroen - 2008

We analyze experimental evidence on whether untrained subjects can predict how trustworthy an individual is. Two players on a TV show play a high stakes prisoner's dilemma with pre-play communication. Our subjects report probabilistic beliefs that each player cooperates, before and after...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014213778

The Role of Consumer Confidence as a Leading Indicator on Stock Returns : A Markov Switching Approach

Koy, Ayben - 2017

traditional theory. The aim of this study is two-fold: it investigates whether mutual regime switching behavior exists between the … applies the Markov Regime Switching model to monthly data from the BIST100 Return Index, Bloomberg Confidence Index, TUIK … Confidence Index, Real Sector Confidence Index for the period between 2007:01 and 2016:06. The results indicate if consumer …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954368