We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major global stock market indices have a particular form of non-linear dependence on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to continue after small movements. The observed...

In this study, we propose a set of covariates that exploit information content of hedge funds' relative size, performance, growth, tail risk, and past liquidation rate, in predicting their liquidation. Empirical results show that our proposed covariates exhibit significant predictive power for...

A huge diversity exists within the broad category of SMEs. They differ widely in their capital structure, firm size, access to external finance, management style, numbers of employees etc. We contribute to the literature by acknowledging this diversity while modeling credit risk for them, using...