With rapid growth of natural gas consumption in China, it is in urgent need of more accurate and reliable models to make a reasonable forecast. Considering the limitations of the single model and the model uncertainty, this paper presents a combinative method to forecast natural gas consumption...

Identifying firms linked economically through the comovement of the credit rating of their corporate bonds, we find that a long-short strategy for stocks based on the link generates a risk-adjusted alpha of 0.62 percent per month, which cannot be explained by industry, customer-supplier, single-...

In this paper, we are interested in exploring the role of price impact, derived from the order book, in modeling and predicting stock volatility. This is motivated by the microstructure literature that focuses on the mechanics of price formation and its relevance to market quality. Using a...