Forecasting of macroeconomic indicators is one of the main elements of macroeconomic policy and performs a number of important economic and political functions. When making economic and political decisions need to be aware of the future to limit the possible variants of economic policy, and also...

The current innovative economy considers digitalization as a factor influencing the most important socio-economic processes, including those related to progressive structural changes, social development, improvement of the efficiency of public administration, and growth of the population's...

Preliminary data on Russia's economic results of 2015, as well as the current trends in the global energy market, give grounds for revising down possible scenarios for Russia's economy in 2016-2017. For instance, a scenario of yearly average oil prices staying at $35 a barrel in 2016 is now the...

In this study, we have attempted a broad review of the literature examining the impact of exchange rate volatility on trade volume. We show that early estimates suggesting a significant increase in trade among countries in currency unions are flawed, and are due to a number of reasons related to...

Целью данной работы является исследование влияния макроэкономических показателей на финансовые рынки и анализ степени влияния этих факторов. В первом разделе...

Developments that unfolded in Q1 2016, particularly the decline of crude oil prices down to a 12-year low, may result in worse-than-expected outcomes at 2016 year-end. Unlike the forecast that we made in January, we have revised down our 2016 baseline scenario for GDP growth rates from -1.4% to...