Both the EU and the euro-area economic sentiment indicator (ESI) increased over the third quarter of 2015. At 107.6 (EU) and 105.6 (euro area) in September 2015, the ESI stood at its highest level since March (June) 2011, markedly above the long-term average of 100. At sector level, confidence...

Both the EU and the euro-area economic sentiment indicator (ESI) increased over the third quarter of 2015. At 107.6 (EU) and 105.6 (euro area) in September 2015, the ESI stood at its highest level since March (June) 2011, markedly above the long-term average of 100. At sector level, confidence...

Special topic: Using fat survey data to nowcast euro area GDP growth. After losses in 2018-Q1 and a broad sideways movement in Q2, the euro-area (EA) and EU Economic Sentiment Indicators (ESI) posted moderate decreases of 0.9 (EU) and 1.4 (EA) points in the third quarter. In both cases, the...

This special topic investigates the extent to which selling price expectations (SPE) from the harmonised EU programme of business surveys contain leading information for forecasting short-term developments in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). The analysis is based on a...