Прогностическая оценка устойчивого развития импортозависимых секторов экономики региона в условиях внешнего давления

The aim of the work is to develop and test methodological approaches to the empirical assessment of the prospects for regional economic dynamics in the context of disruption of supply chains of industry imports. The object of the study is one of the most developed regions of Russia - the Republic of Tatarstan. The main results of the study are the discovered patterns that reveal the features of the sensitivity of regional industrial complexes to restrictions in the supply of goods from abroad in the context of sanctions pressure on the national economy of the Russian Federation and the strengthening of secondary sanctions on friendly countries implementing foreign economic activity with residents of Russia