Extremes and clustering of nonstationary max-AR(1) sequences
We consider general nonstationary max-autoregressive sequences Xi, i [greater-or-equal, slanted] 1, with Xi = Zimax(Xi - 1, Yi) where Yi, i [greater-or-equal, slanted] 1 is a sequence of i.i.d. random variables and Zi, i [greater-or-equal, slanted] 1 is a sequence of independent random variables (0 [less-than-or-equals, slant] Zi [less-than-or-equals, slant] 1), independent of Yi. We deal with the limit law of extreme values Mn = maxXi, i [less-than-or-equals, slant] n (as n --> [infinity]) and evaluate the extremal index for the case where the marginal distribution of Yi is regularly varying at [infinity]. The limit of the point process of exceedances of a boundary un by Xi, i [less-than-or-equals, slant] n, is derived (as n --> [infinity]) by analysing the convergence of the cluster distribution and of the intensity measure.
Year of publication: |
1995
|
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Authors: | Alpuim, M. T. ; Catkan, N. A. ; Hüsler, J. |
Published in: |
Stochastic Processes and their Applications. - Elsevier, ISSN 0304-4149. - Vol. 56.1995, 1, p. 171-184
|
Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Keywords: | Nonstationary Extreme values Point processes Regular variation Weak limits Max-autoregressive sequences |
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