Forecasting global recessions in a GVAR model of actual and expected output
Year of publication: |
April-June 2016
|
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Authors: | Garratt, Anthony ; Lee, Kevin C. ; Shields, Kalvinder K. |
Published in: |
International journal of forecasting. - Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier, ISSN 0169-2070, ZDB-ID 283943-X. - Vol. 32.2016, 2, p. 374-390
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Subject: | Cross-country interactions | Survey expectations | Probability forecasts | Global and national recession | Forecast evaluation | Konjunktur | Business cycle | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Welt | World | VAR-Modell | VAR model | Frühindikator | Leading indicator | Wirtschaftsprognose | Economic forecast | Bruttoinlandsprodukt | Gross domestic product | Prognose | Forecast | Erwartungsbildung | Expectation formation | Wirtschaftskrise | Economic crisis | Globalisierung | Globalization |
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