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Probability theory
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International journal of forecasting
Insurance / Mathematics & economics
146
European journal of operational research : EJOR
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Economics letters
84
Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute
74
Risks : open access journal
61
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
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Theory and decision : an international journal for multidisciplinary advances in decision science
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Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam
47
Scandinavian actuarial journal
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Metrika : international journal for theoretical and applied statistics
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43
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33
Mathematics of operations research
32
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Acta Universitatis Wratislaviensis : AUW
30
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Economic theory : official journal of the Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory
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Mathematics Preprint Archive
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24
Statistics in transition : an international journal of the Polish Statistical Association
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Journal of risk and uncertainty : JRU
22
Order statistics: applications
22
Mathematical finance : an international journal of mathematics, statistics and financial theory
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NBER Working Paper
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Econometric reviews
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Finance and stochastics
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Fuzzy optimization and decision making : a journal of modeling and computation under uncertainty
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INFORMS journal on computing : JOC
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Order statistics: theory & methods
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International journal of production research
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1
Parameter-efficient deep probabilistic forecasting
Sprangers, Olivier
;
Schelter, Sebastian
;
Rijke, Maarten de
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 332-345
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462783
Saved in:
2
Static and dynamic models for multivariate distribution forecasts : proper scoring rule tests of factor-quantile versus multivariate GARCH models
Alexander, Carol
;
Han, Yang
;
Meng, Xiaochun
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1078-1096
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465245
Saved in:
3
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of extremes using continuous ranked probability score distributions
Taillardat, Maxime
;
Fougères, Anne-Laure
;
Naveau, Philippe
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1448-1459
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465293
Saved in:
4
Distributional regression and its evaluation with the CRPS : bounds and convergence of the minimax risk
Pic, Romain
;
Dombry, Clément
;
Naveau, Philippe
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1564-1572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465329
Saved in:
5
Comparing probabilistic forecasts of the daily minimum and maximum temperature
Meng, Xiaochun
;
Taylor, James W.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 267-281
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347810
Saved in:
6
Optimal probabilistic forecasts : when do they work?
Martin, Gael M.
;
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
;
Maneesoonthorn, Worapree
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 384-406
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347814
Saved in:
7
Blending gradient boosted trees and neural networks for point and probabilistic forecasting of hierarchical time series
Nasios, Ioannis
;
Vogklis, Konstantinos
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
4
,
pp. 1448-1459
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014381109
Saved in:
8
A white-boxed ISSM approach to estimate uncertainty distributions of Walmart sales
De Rezende, Rafael B.
;
Egert, Katharina
;
Marin, Ignacio
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
4
,
pp. 1460-1467
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014381111
Saved in:
9
Probabilistic recalibration of forecasts
Graziani, Carlo
;
Rosner, Robert
;
Adams, Jennifer M.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
1
,
pp. 1-27
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012692513
Saved in:
10
Probabilistic access forecasting for improved offshore operations
Gilbert, Ciaran
;
Browell, Jethro
;
McMillan, David
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
1
,
pp. 134-150
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012692675
Saved in:
11
Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks : combine point or probabilistic forecasts?
Marcjasz, Grzegorz
;
Uniejewski, Bartosz
;
Weron, Rafał
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 466-479
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415156
Saved in:
12
A strategic predictive distribution for tests of probabilistic calibration
Taylor, James W.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1380-1388
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546789
Saved in:
13
Predicting LGD distributions with mixed continuous and discrete ordinal outcomes
Hwang, Ruey-Ching
;
Chu, Chih-Kang
;
Yu, Kaizhi
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 1003-1022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012497162
Saved in:
14
DeepAR : probabilistic forecasting with autoregressive recurrent networks
Salinas, David
;
Flunkert, Valentin
;
Gasthaus, Jan
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 1181-1191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498611
Saved in:
15
Forecasting dynamic return distributions based on ordered binary choice
Anatolyev, Stanislav
;
Baruník, Jozef
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 823-835
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305181
Saved in:
16
Quantile regression for the qualifying match of GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecasting
Ziel, Florian
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1400-1408
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305360
Saved in:
17
Neural networks for GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecasting
Dimoulkas, I.
;
Mazidi, P.
;
Herre, L.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1409-1423
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305363
Saved in:
18
Machine learning methods for GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecasting
Smyl, Slawek
;
Hua, N. Grace
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1424-1431
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305365
Saved in:
19
Reconciled boosted models for GEFCom2017 hierarchical probabilistic load forecasting
Roach, Cameron
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1439-1450
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305368
Saved in:
20
Data preprocessing and quantile regression for probabilistic load forecasting in the GEFCom2017 final match
Kanda, Isao
;
Veguillas, J. M. Quintana
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1460-1468
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305376
Saved in:
21
A calibration method with dynamic updates for within-match forecasting of wins in tennis
Kovalchik, Stephanie
;
Reid, Machar
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 756-766
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300726
Saved in:
22
Forecasting football match results in national league competitions using score-driven time series models
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lit, Rutger
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 797-809
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300729
Saved in:
23
Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative?
Clements, Michael P.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
34
(
2018
)
2
,
pp. 181-198
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030891
Saved in:
24
Investigate Discuss Estimate Aggregate for structured expert judgement
Hanea, A. M.
;
McBride, Marissa
;
Burgman, Mark A.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
33
(
2017
)
1
,
pp. 267-279
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754999
Saved in:
25
Probabilistic forecasting of hourly electricity prices in the medium-term using spatial interpolation techniques
Bello, Antonio
;
Reneses, Javier
;
Muñoz, Antonio
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 966-980
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621911
Saved in:
26
Short-term probabilistic forecasting of wind speed using stochastic differential equations
Iversen, Emil B.
;
Morales, Juan M.
;
Møller, Jan K.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 981-990
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621968
Saved in:
27
A hybrid model of kernel density estimation and quantile regression for GEFCom2014 probabilistic load forecasting
Haben, Stephen
;
Giasemidis, Georgios
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 1017-1022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621987
Saved in:
28
Sequence of nonparametric models for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load forecasting
Mangalova, Ekaterina
;
Shesterneva, Olesya
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 1023-1028
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621988
Saved in:
29
Lasso estimation for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load forecasting
Ziel, Florian
;
Liu, Bidong
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 1029-1037
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621989
Saved in:
30
A hybrid model for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electricity price forecasting
Maciejowska, Katarzyna
;
Nowotarski, Jakub
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 1051-1056
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621992
Saved in:
31
Probabilistic gradient boosting machines for GEFCom2014 wind forecasting
Landry, Mark
;
Erlinger, Thomas P.
;
Patschke, David
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 1061-1066
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621995
Saved in:
32
K-nearest neighbors for GEFCom2014 probabilistic wind power forecasting
Mangalova, Ekaterina
;
Shesterneva, Olesya
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 1067-1073
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621996
Saved in:
33
K-nearest neighbors and a kernel density estimator for GEFCom2014 probabilistic wind power forecasting
Zhang, Yao
;
Wang, Jianxue
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 1074-1080
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622018
Saved in:
34
GEFCom2014 : probabilistic solar and wind power forecasting using a generalized additive tree ensemble approach
Nagy, Gábor I.
;
Barta, Gergő
;
Kazi, Sándor
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
32
(
2016
)
3
,
pp. 1087-1093
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622053
Saved in:
35
Testing the value of probability forecasts for calibrated combining
Lahiri, Kajal
;
Peng, Huaming
;
Zhao, Yongchen
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
1
,
pp. 113-129
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327410
Saved in:
36
Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model
Satopää, Ville A.
;
Baron, Jonathan
;
Foster, Dean P.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 344-356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010510904
Saved in:
37
On determining probability forecasts from betting odds
Štrumbelj, Erik
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2014
)
4
,
pp. 934-943
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517776
Saved in:
38
Probability distributions or point predictions? : survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation
Clements, Michael P.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2013
)
1
,
pp. 99-117
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010247009
Saved in:
39
Combining probability forecasts
Clements, Michael P.
;
Harvey, David I.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
27
(
2011
)
2
,
pp. 208-223
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009247538
Saved in:
40
Kernel-based calibration diagnostics for recession and inflation probability forecasts
Galbraith, John W.
;
Van Norden, Simon
- In:
International journal of forecasting
27
(
2011
)
4
,
pp. 1041-1057
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009316920
Saved in:
41
Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of asset returns
Geweke, John
;
Amisano, Gianni
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
2
,
pp. 216-230
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003980280
Saved in:
42
Finding profitable forecast combinations using probability scoring rules
Grant, Andrew
;
Johnstone, David
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
3
,
pp. 498-510
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003990920
Saved in:
43
Probability judgmental forecasting : special issue
Wright, George
(
contributor
); …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
12
(
1996
)
1
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001204620
Saved in:
44
Probability forecasting : special issue
In:
International journal of forecasting
11
(
1995
)
1
,
pp. 1-174
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001183244
Saved in:
45
Judgmental decomposition : when does it work?
MacGregor, Donald G.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
10
(
1994
)
4
,
pp. 495-506
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001178921
Saved in:
46
What forecasts (seem to) mean
Fischhoff, Baruch
- In:
International journal of forecasting
10
(
1994
)
3
,
pp. 387-403
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001174441
Saved in:
47
Stochastic population forecasts and their uses
Tuljapurkar, Shripad
- In:
International journal of forecasting
8
(
1992
)
3
,
pp. 385-391
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001330603
Saved in:
48
The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters
Benson, Paul George
- In:
International journal of forecasting
8
(
1992
)
4
,
pp. 559-573
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001135286
Saved in:
49
Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts
Murphy, Allan H.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
7
(
1992
)
4
,
pp. 435-455
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001124454
Saved in:
50
Judgemental probability forecasts for personal and impersonal events
Wright, George
- In:
International journal of forecasting
5
(
1989
)
1
,
pp. 117-125
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001088663
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