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Do wealthier households save more? The impact of the demographic factor

Belke, Ansgar; Dreger, Christian; Ochmann, Richard - 2012

the savings rate is not homogeneous. On average, the effect attributed to real estate dominates the other components of … wealth. In addition, the savings rate strongly responds to demographic trends. Besides the direct impact of the age structure …, an indirect effect arises through the accumulation of wealth. The savings rate does not decrease with age in a monotonic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287332

Global liquidity, world savings glut and global policy coordination

Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - 2010

The global imbalances of the 2000s and the recent global financial crisis are intimately connected. Both originate in the combination of economic policies adopted by the two key economies, the US and China. Global financial markets served as a transmission belt, both during the boom as during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271353

The importance of global shocks for national policymakers: rising challenges for central banks

Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009

We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271110

Global integration of Central and Eastern European financial markets: the role of economic sentiments

Belke, Ansgar; Beckmann, Joscha; Kühl, Michael - 2009

This paper examines the importance of different economic sentiments, e.g. consumer moods, for the Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) during the transition process. We first analyze the importance of economic confidence with respect to the CEEC's financial markets. Since the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271117

How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? A time-varying coefficient approach

Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009

This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271135

When does it hurt? The exchange rate pain threshold for German exports

Belke, Ansgar; Goecke, Matthias; Guenther, Martin - 2009

This paper deals with the impact of the $/¿ exchange rate on German exports in the period from 1995Q1 to 2008Q4. Our main aim is to identify pain thresholds for German exporters. We rely on a non-linear model according to which suddenly strong spurts of exports occur when changes of the EXR go...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271139

Liquidity and the dynamic pattern of asset price adjustment: a global view

Belke, Ansgar; Orth, Walter; Setzer, Ralph - 2009

Global liquidity expansion has been very dynamic since 2001. Contrary to conventional wisdom, high money growth rates have not coincided with a concurrent rise in goods prices. At the same time, however, asset prices have increased sharply, significantly outpacing the subdued development in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271141

Die Auswirkungen der Geldmenge und des Kreditvolumens auf die Immobilienpreise: ein ARDL-Ansatz für Deutschland

Belke, Ansgar - 2009

Die aktuellen Finanzmarktturbulenzen wurden durch Entwicklungen im Immobiliensektor ausgelöst. Vor diesem Hintergrund analysiert dieser Beitrag den Zusammenhang zwischen den Immobilienpreisen und der Geldmengen- und Kreditvolumensentwicklung für den Zeitraum 1992 -2006 (westdeutsche...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271145

Does the ECB rely on a Taylor rule? Comparing ex-post with real time data

Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2009

We assess the differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the ECB when using ex-post data instead of real time forecasts and vice versa. We argue that previous comparative studies in this field mixed up two separate effects. First, the differences resulting from the use of ex-post and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271158

Monetary policy, global liquidity and commodity price dynamics

Belke, Ansgar; Bordon, Ingo G.; Hendricks, Torben W. - 2010

worldwide level of interest rates received in the recent debate about the world savings and liquidity glut as one of the main …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271369