This paper establishes the result that the seller prefers posted-price selling when the cost of information acquisition is high, and auctions when it is low. We view corporate bonds as an instance of the former case, and government bonds as an instance of the latter.

When information is costly, a seller may wish to prevent prospective buyers from acquiring information, for the cost of information acquisition is ultimately borne by the seller. A seller can achieve the desired prevention of information acquisition through posted-price selling, by offering...

This paper introduces bond market order flow as a predictor variable in term structuremodels and provides evidence that order flow has forecasting ability over and above thatof forward rates. Both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts show that models includ-ing interdealer order flow outperform...

This paper investigates the process of price discovery in government bond markets.By using a new data set including interdealer trades, customer trades, trade types anddealer identities, the paper explores the role of dealers in the price formation processand seeks to identify their sources of...

Die Krise der Staatsanleihenmärkte hat die Frage ausgelöst, welche Indikatoreneine kommende Umschuldung von Staatsschulden anzeigen. Typische Belastungsindikatorenwie die Schuldenhöhe oder das Verhältnis Schuld/Einwohneretc. können Umschuldungen nicht erklären. Dies deutet darauf hin, dass...

We disentangle different driving factors of sovereign bond market integrationby studying yield co-movements of EMU countries, the UK, the US and 16German L¨ander in the last 15 years. At a low frequency of weeks, bondmarket integration has increased gradually in the course of the last 15 years...

There is strong evidence that on-the-run U.S. Treasury securities trade muchmore liquidly and at significantly higher prices than their off-the-run counterparts.We examine if the same phenomenon is present in the German government bondmarket whose market structure differ markedly from that of...

Der vorstehende Beitrag hat untersucht, ob die Praxis, „defensive bids“ inStaatsanleiheauktionen abzugeben oder die Veröffentlichung einer künstlich erhöhten „Bid toCover-Ratio“ durch die Emittenten von Staatsanleihen sowie ihre „Primary Dealers“ eineverbotene Marktmanipulation im...

In this paper we analyse the comparative pricing of vanilla and GDP linkedsovereign debt. The key feature of GDP linked bonds is that their cashflowscoupons,principal or both-are linked to the evolution of the country’s nationalincome. While it has long been argued that indexing debt to...